Polls open in Surbiton by-election

At around midnight tonight we'll know who's won in the increasingly bitter fight for Surbiton Hill ward.

Unlike the anoraks at Vote 2007, this anorak won't be predicting the outcome. But all I will say is that the slump in the party's popularity from last year means anything other than a comfortable Conservative victory should be considered a respectable result for John Ayles and the team.